Dota2 · resolved market
Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8657b2aa733d51c8b5dc813a4ad800b0baab5cf7ea5cca311195c257d2b2ecaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 5c | 23,270$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.81 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 10c | 16,145$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.41 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 2c | 15,170$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 3c | 6,892$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…5e42backed Yes | 6c | 3,548$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Yes | 6c | 2,339$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…992fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,287$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 5c | 1,855$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 4c | 1,631$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Yes | 5c | 1,559$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…735bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Yes | 5c | 1,109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…0d36backed Yes | 9c | 1,093$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…c956backed Yes | 9c | 1,067$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yes | 6c | 999.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…c499backed Yes | 7c | 814.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 7c | 765.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 5c | 582.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…2ec5backed Yes | 4c | 574.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 562.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…4490backed Yes | 6c | 515.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 6c | 409.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes | 6c | 377.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…db17backed Yes | 6c | 375.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 6c | 318.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 6c | 304.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…93a2backed Yes | 9c | 281.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…6f9cbacked Yes | 5c | 263.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Yes | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 5c | 254.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…4487backed Yes | 4c | 249.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…ec53backed Yes | 9c | 242.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Yes | 6c | 241.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Yes | 5c | 236.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…f61dbacked Yes | 9c | 230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8d29backed Yes | 9c | 207.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…22d5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…e26dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…6e49backed Yes | 6c | 170.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…0274backed Yes | 7c | 162.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Yes | 9c | 137.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…6358backed Yes | 9c | 110.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?this page
- Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
- Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?No won
- Will GamerLegion Win The International 2026?No won
- Will HULIGANI Win The International 2026?No won
- Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?No won
- Will OG Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.