TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,358 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes6c19,770$1,260 inLost-$1,260.4418830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c63…0ca5backed Yes6c5,855$377 inLost-$376.781936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes2c5,432$125 inLost-$125.24418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes8c5,068$400 inLost-$4004542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes6c3,058$183 inLost-$183.4612560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost-$14080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…5e42backed Yes5c1,626$81 inLost-$8150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes6c1,470$82 inLost-$82.066726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes3c1,404$43 inLost-$42.78170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes3c1,274$41 inLost-$41.0380742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes1c811.55$11 inLost-$10.741926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes6c699.99$44 inLost-$4426741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes4c696.31$29 inLost-$29.367839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb16b…3a57backed Yes6c535.49$32 inLost-$32.132646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes7c499.99$34 inLost-$33.9610539%41 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Yes3c405.54$14 inLost-$13.8469835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Yes5c399.99$20 inLost-$2026154.8%143 W · 118 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdafe…5cedbacked Yes7c393.43$28 inLost-$27.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes3c364.97$11 inLost-$11.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes6c344.15$21 inLost-$20.6532441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb866…3302backed Yes6c343.46$20 inLost-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c1…68f4backed Yes7c320.49$23 inLost-$23.394438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eda…57e0backed Yes9c274.55$25 inLost-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes6c256.63$15 inLost-$14.741010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Yes5c238.77$12 inLost-$11.9426247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…e26dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd05…0150backed Yes6c190$11 inLost-$11.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-43.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.