TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfde3…8fa0backed Yes2c17,560$386 inLost-$386.4760%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes2c8,060$169 inLost-$169.2618830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e13…b01bbacked Yes2c5,605$112 inLost-$111.711421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Yes2c5,203$115 inLost-$115.0811045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…a811backed Yes2c4,057$61 inLost-$61.12544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c3,835$74 inLost-$74.41170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c3,200$48 inLost-$48130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3465…bbdbbacked Yes4c2,724$100 inLost-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes4c2,500$100 inLost-$99.932544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…fee3backed Yes2c2,476$53 inLost-$53.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes1c2,206$21 inLost-$21.464418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes2c1,648$28 inLost-$28.118223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes2c1,148$26 inLost-$25.94110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes2c1,068$26 inLost-$26.474148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x937b…1c0abacked Yes1c1,016$15 inLost-$14.814017.5%7 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes3c924.73$28 inLost-$27.687839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb42…f1adbacked Yes2c919.96$20 inLost-$19.870%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b5…a3b5backed Yes2c818.52$20 inLost-$2010934.9%38 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb5f…2e21backed Yes3c737.45$22 inLost-$22.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-76.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0a0…86b2backed Yes3c733.15$20 inLost-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabd…f562backed Yes4c564.43$24 inLost-$23.730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Yes3c558.19$14 inLost-$13.9510840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82e…7fc0backed Yes4c412.11$15 inLost-$152850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes6c321.4$20 inLost-$2010539%41 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158e…216bbacked Yes4c262.13$10 inLost-$108457.1%48 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2325backed Yes5c239.64$13 inLost-$12.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.