TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes2c12,845$298 inLost-$298.2428341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes2c9,580$179 inLost-$178.8118830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6d…7619backed Yes2c9,391$221 inLost-$221.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b1…6edabacked Yes2c9,269$210 inLost-$210.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes1c9,043$66 inLost-$66.094418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Yes4c3,000$105 inLost-$10510744.9%48 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes3c2,300$58 inLost-$57.81338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…143fbacked Yes3c2,226$74 inLost-$74.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Yes3c2,000$52 inLost-$5214943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde3…8fa0backed Yes2c2,000$38 inLost-$3860%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2a…6f9cbacked Yes1c1,880$14 inLost-$14.053030%9 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes2c1,868$30 inLost-$29.8980%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,592$29 inLost-$28.82170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c1,500$22 inLost-$22.5130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes3c1,154$30 inLost-$3032951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes3c894.99$28 inLost-$28.05110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7898…f40dbacked Yes3c781.54$20 inLost-$202015%3 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Yes2c778.03$14 inLost-$14.455829.3%17 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef5…3ff6backed Yes3c576.92$15 inLost-$152227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed Yes5c533.39$26 inLost-$26.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7724…0492backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No80c100$80 inWon+$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.