TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,045 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1dd5…a5e3backed Yes1c13,838$114 inLost-$113.7670%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c9,836$69 inLost-$68.83170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e13…b01bbacked Yes8c9,722$822 inLost-$821.521421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes1c6,331$44 inLost-$44.1918830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes1c6,104$40 inLost-$39.664418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c5,988$46 inLost-$46.1130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…143fbacked Yes3c5,778$179 inLost-$179.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd751…4ceabacked Yes2c3,070$48 inLost-$48.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes2c2,700$59 inLost-$58.61338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Yes1c2,605$26 inLost-$26.0569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes1c2,500$27 inLost-$27.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes2c2,353$40 inLost-$4032951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes1c1,952$18 inLost-$17.5737745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Yes2c1,777$28 inLost-$28.4337655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x771b…fe69backed Yes1c1,690$21 inLost-$21.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc2a…6f9cbacked Yes1c1,456$20 inLost-$19.813030%9 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Yes1c1,448$20 inLost-$2018452.2%96 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7898…f40dbacked Yes2c1,250$20 inLost-$202015%3 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb497…89b9backed Yes1c1,048$10 inLost-$10.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Yes2c776.99$16 inLost-$15.5411045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…3f7bbacked Yes2c642.68$10 inLost-$102748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e9…e26dbacked Yes2c630$10 inLost-$10.0840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes3c545.38$17 inLost-$16.78110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed Yes7c433.8$28 inLost-$28.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.