TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbbd9…de31backed Yes22c13,640$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.7814258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes8c10,629$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.918830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes13c10,524$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.124418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Yes15c9,590$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes9c9,532$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.16726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes11c7,743$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.848539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Yes10c6,766$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.5569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes7c4,315$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4121…b9aabacked Yes14c4,111$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes7c3,985$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0112642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked Yes10c3,757$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.196851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed Yes19c3,710$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes21c3,447$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6210766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No78c2,709$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.749256.5%52 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0267backed Yes6c2,539$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes14c2,282$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.937646.1%35 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes3c2,193$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.97300%0 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes8c2,150$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.248223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c1,850$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb2…647dbacked Yes3c1,550$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31518351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes5c1,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.628750.6%44 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes12c1,468$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.417839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Yes14c1,446$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.716547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5838…549ebacked Yes11c1,402$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes5c1,400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes8c1,356$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Yes19c1,312$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.329057.8%52 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes10c1,309$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.441010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76b…ce42backed Yes9c1,268$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes13c1,230$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.410539%41 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f18…e340backed Yes8c1,200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Yes13c1,100$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa451…f8ebbacked Yes12c1,036$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0465…3767backed Yes7c1,029$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.754544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes5c982.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.73110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…af29backed Yes21c960.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes18c851.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9413850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Yes24c841.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes6c836.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.32130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b5…db17backed Yes19c830.86$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Yes28c805$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.459254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Yes10c771.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.175621.4%12 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…9c68backed Yes20c764.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes16c750.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12311541.7%48 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa13…b600backed Yes4c750$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912a…a3babacked Yes11c704.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd20…d720backed Yes12c690.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes9c686.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd445…6e49backed Yes5c671.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82e…7fc0backed Yes20c593.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Yes7c585.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6654058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e6…618abacked Yes9c584.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7f…fe7bbacked Yes6c563.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.043748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cec…91cdbacked Yes9c552.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.162540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No78c550$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c8e…4ad8backed Yes23c534.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No80c500.72$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No77c480.8$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes12c455.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5676048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eba…c7d7backed Yes22c454.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Yes9c436.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes13c418.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-72.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Yes12c416.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed No79c405.04$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.061625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No80c396.92$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.854065%26 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes10c391.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2523736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…630abacked Yes18c390$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd05…0150backed Yes7c379$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-43.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes19c373.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.213544.4%60 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No78c369.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.840844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…7eb5backed Yes8c361.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031d…610abacked Yes6c348.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Yes19c328.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.396547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes5c312.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…7834backed Yes18c309.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846a…63f7backed Yes17c303.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1250%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4733…93a2backed Yes8c297.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes7c285.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997742.9%33 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No75c265.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5141…7346backed Yes18c260.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes19c259.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.431143.4%135 W · 176 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f59…54f8backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07c1…68f4backed Yes20c253$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…1773backed Yes20c252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes5c244$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes12c235.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0112568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3333…c95bbacked Yes20c229.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes6c228.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b39…8593backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405360.4%32 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6b…f0aebacked Yes7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.142035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3663032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes10c195.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes9c185.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.05425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.