TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe055…3157

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
303
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10956%61 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehneltbacked Kai Wehnelt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$39.57
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roehampton 2: Hady Habib vs Leonardo Rossibacked Hady Habib · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wongbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Kingston: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cancun: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Radu Albotbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$29.23
Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Quebec City: Jurij Rodionov vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT6660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$20.63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$27.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$20.12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$18.68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$13.57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$15.12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$73.64
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.71
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$123.1
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$85.75
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$32.46
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.11
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$85.06
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.74
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$81.67
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+128%+$153.58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$56.23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$126.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.78
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Counter-Strike: ENCE Prospects vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group Cbacked Inner Circle Prospect · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$29.12
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$420
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$173.33
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$108.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.