Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5850371d6145e493d1338ee17e3960096564b0607cc97fb5d717c07ede348afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicestershireof Leicestershire, Nottinghamshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 10,002$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leicestershire | 42c | 9,283$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.93 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Nottinghamshire | 4c | 7,255$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.55 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 5,486$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.34 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Nottinghamshire | 49c | 2,456$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nottinghamshire | 14c | 2,306$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.54 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Leicestershire | 40c | 2,032$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.01 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leicestershire | 42c | 1,640$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.27 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Leicestershire | 44c | 1,617$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Leicestershire | 44c | 1,594$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.78 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Leicestershire | 56c | 647.78$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Leicestershire | 43c | 499.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.06 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Leicestershire | 45c | 467.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Leicestershire | 45c | 467.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Leicestershire | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leicestershire | 50c | 435.39$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Leicestershire | 45c | 272.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Leicestershire | 76c | 261.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leicestershire | 43c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 221 | 36.2%80 W · 141 L | -24.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leicestershire | 47c | 161.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 235 | 34.5%81 W · 154 L | -18.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Leicestershire | 54c | 154.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leicestershire | 48c | 152.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…820bbacked Nottinghamshire | 65c | 149.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Nottinghamshire | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Leicestershire | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…9a2abacked Leicestershire | 51c | 129.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Nottinghamshire | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nottinghamshire | 41c | 115.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Leicestershire | 43c | 113.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Nottinghamshire | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Nottinghamshire | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Nottinghamshire | 56c | 99.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nottinghamshire | 32c | 98.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Leicestershire | 43c | 95.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nottinghamshire | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nottinghamshire | 48c | 92.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Leicestershire | 65c | 91.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nottinghamshire | 33c | 83.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Leicestershire | 42c | 81.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nottinghamshire | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 196 | 57.7%113 W · 83 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leicestershire | 45c | 66.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Leicestershire | 44c | 65.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Leicestershire | 46c | 62.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Leicestershire | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leicestershire | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Nottinghamshire | 54c | 48.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Nottinghamshire | 58c | 44.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Nottinghamshire | 56c | 40.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Leicestershire | 61c | 39.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…5969backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 36.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Nottinghamshire | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…738fbacked Nottinghamshire | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Leicestershire | 45c | 31.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Nottinghamshire | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Leicestershire | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leicestershire | 58c | 29.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Leicestershire | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Leicestershire | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Nottinghamshire | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…80d3backed Leicestershire | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.