MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2939bac2ce9b2154621a8309f1671793d7151c44de308dfab4a3071fad918e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 118,019$53,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,108.39 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 55c | 77,777$42,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,999.62 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 42,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 21,102$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.45 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 54c | 18,500$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 18,346$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 56c | 15,011$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 13,405$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.19 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 12,307$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.54 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 11,792$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.49 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 11,500$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.98 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 5,922$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 5,798$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 5,314$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 4,355$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 3,188$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.31 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,479$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,307$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 2,296$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,133$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,089$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.82 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 2,071$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 2,059$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.49 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 1,455$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,359$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,253$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.37 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 1,002$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 995.49$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Mets | 48c | 963.65$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.33 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 899.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 797.87$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 663.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 662.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked New York Mets | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 518.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.52 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked New York Mets | 48c | 468.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed New York Mets | 55c | 458.66$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 453.56$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 440$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 414$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 381.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 379.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed New York Mets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 368.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 339.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…ddb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 299.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 290.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 80c | 284.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 280$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked New York Mets | 69c | 277$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Mets | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…4919backed New York Mets | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 236.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed New York Mets | 69c | 236.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed New York Mets | 55c | 235.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed New York Mets | 54c | 217$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Mets | 50c | 207.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b81…b5a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…0f1fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 179.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Mets | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 158.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked New York Mets | 45c | 153.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 148.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 139.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 78c | 134.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 129.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-5.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.