Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Leicestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4802f88377fe9993610ef87da63d853a3da21d7aa738bd36157cb2a260b43c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Derbyshireof Derbyshire, Leicestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Leicestershire | 47c | 3,956$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Derbyshire | 54c | 3,337$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Leicestershire | 14c | 2,792$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Derbyshire | 52c | 2,450$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.26 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leicestershire | 8c | 2,179$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Leicestershire | 48c | 2,105$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.63 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Derbyshire | 53c | 1,914$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.63 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…938cbacked Leicestershire | 21c | 1,450$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Derbyshire | 52c | 1,300$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.68 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Leicestershire | 51c | 1,094$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Derbyshire | 52c | 1,063$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.92 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Derbyshire | 74c | 950.75$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Leicestershire | 46c | 861.74$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Leicestershire | 23c | 411.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Leicestershire | 17c | 397.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Leicestershire | 49c | 389.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leicestershire | 26c | 340.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Leicestershire | 38c | 338.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Leicestershire | 32c | 316.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Derbyshire | 65c | 240.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Derbyshire | 56c | 219.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Leicestershire | 48c | 214.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Derbyshire | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Derbyshire | 67c | 189.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Derbyshire | 53c | 187.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Derbyshire | 74c | 186$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Derbyshire | 67c | 184.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Leicestershire | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Derbyshire | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Derbyshire | 79c | 151.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Derbyshire | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Derbyshire | 70c | 141.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Derbyshire | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leicestershire | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leicestershire | 44c | 117.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Derbyshire | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Derbyshire | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Leicestershire | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Leicestershire | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 15c | 85.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Derbyshire | 46c | 77.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Leicestershire | 54c | 77.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Derbyshire | 75c | 75.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Derbyshire | 53c | 71.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Derbyshire | 52c | 65.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Leicestershire | 50c | 61.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Derbyshire | 52c | 60.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Derbyshire | 53c | 54.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Leicestershire | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Leicestershire | 38c | 52.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leicestershire | 47c | 51.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Leicestershire | 48c | 50.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Derbyshire | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Leicestershire | 48c | 46.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leicestershire | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Leicestershire | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Derbyshire | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Derbyshire | 52c | 35.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Leicestershire | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Derbyshire | 75c | 32.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Derbyshire | 78c | 30.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…4f96backed Leicestershire | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Leicestershire | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Derbyshire | 52c | 29.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Leicestershire | 49c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Leicestershire | 50c | 26.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Derbyshire | 67c | 18.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Derbyshire | 69c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Derbyshire | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Derbyshire | 79c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.