MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x767975c376caad373f4a12cd4dea1895e7c728473e1a94d74fae0da49442a76a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Cincinnati Reds, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $716,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $717,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $716,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 225,196$84,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,883.28 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 202,379$117,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,999.16 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 152,539$99,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,014.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 115,268$47,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,921.61 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 40,230$23,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,098.71 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 21,333$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 21,032$7,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,452.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bd…7776backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 19,774$8,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,305.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 19,549$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 17,855$7,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 13,650$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 13,099$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 12,447$7,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 11,396$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 10,743$7,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 9,057$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 8,772$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 8,630$5,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.68 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Seattle Mariners | 76c | 4,791$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,982$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,646$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.32 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,104$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,063$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,750$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,525$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.31 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,508$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.36 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 2,446$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.72 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,216$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.52 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,997$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.86 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 1,958$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 1,806$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.37 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,778$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,324$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.9 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,179$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.36 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…7dcbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,106$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,106$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.77 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,086$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,076$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.64 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 999.99$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.24 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 999.77$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 948.27$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.27 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 945.56$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.67 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 849.41$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 844.79$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 836.64$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.64 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 825.53$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…ccb4backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 800$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 798.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.49 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 795.87$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 736.36$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 689.5$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 675.24$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.87 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 584.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 508.08$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 481.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 444.57$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 444.55$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 443.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 432.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 413.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 391$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 382.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 351$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 348.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 343.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Seattle Mariners | 79c | 343$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…51c8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…ff78backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…c671backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-7.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.