MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c2951f82cdf1fa3f3899653d7af929d19ab3820644afd088c317fd713df392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 66,666$35,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,333.02 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 58,347$27,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,423.19 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 47,294$22,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,225.86 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.98 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 25,682$7,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,716.47 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 14,434$7,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,928.08 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 11,075$8,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.85 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 9,165$5,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.6 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 8,246$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.96 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 7,850$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.44 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 7,500$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 6,714$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.68 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 5,695$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.56 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 3,804$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,464$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.51 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,398$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.06 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 2,785$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.74 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 2,762$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.89 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 2,281$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.36 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,029$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.17 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,895$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.8 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,842$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.91 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,684$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.75 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,665$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.16 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,376$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.86 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,359$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.73 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,359$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.73 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,359$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.72 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 1,039$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 1,028$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.57 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.87 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 982.29$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 948.68$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 925.81$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 729.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 717.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 705$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.35 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 700.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 664.13$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.07 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 630$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 597.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 575.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 568.52$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 535.02$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.81 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 531.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 529.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 509.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 424.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 408$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 406.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 354.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 345.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 339.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 330$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 311.64$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 293$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 292.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 258$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 251.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 232.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 225.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 222.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 213.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 212.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 202.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 197.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 184.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.