MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40da9d36db8ec3f55d5e3ba3d203c13105864750e27e69d5af655dc3d7b38a29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 64,716$33,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,649.23 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Over | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 10,712$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.29 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 6,893$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 3,413$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.43 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 1,571$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,418$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 1,232$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.35 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 1,187$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 50c | 1,123$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,098$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.73 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,021$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 78c | 1,010$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 52c | 841.6$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 629.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Over | 51c | 590$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 525$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 51c | 519.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 409$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 358.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 46c | 326$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 319.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 48c | 224.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Under | 50c | 221.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 215$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 198$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 52c | 149.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 45c | 136.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 46c | 104.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 75c | 101.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 49c | 94.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 92.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 51c | 92.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 48c | 86.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 78c | 85.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 50c | 63.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 52c | 57.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 52c | 57.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 56.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 55.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 54c | 45.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 47c | 43.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 42.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 39.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Over | 49c | 36.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Under | 53c | 32.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Over | 50c | 31.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 52c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 53c | 31.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 25.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 51c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.