TailMyPicks
Market

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFire

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PortlandFireof Toronto Tempo, PortlandFire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Toronto Tempo1c59,850$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1411024.5%27 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Tempo7c9,862$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8710838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Toronto Tempo13c9,030$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.912725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed PortlandFire56c7,831$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.859644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Toronto Tempo48c7,759$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo23c6,538$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.331,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo44c5,724$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.2639450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Tempo44c5,682$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo42c5,393$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.985948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed PortlandFire58c4,730$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.493740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo3c4,711$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.236950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Toronto Tempo1c3,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.545415.6%71 W · 383 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Toronto Tempo10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Toronto Tempo14c2,994$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.21850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Toronto Tempo2c2,991$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Tempo3c2,870$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4226147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked PortlandFire60c2,666$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.593073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Toronto Tempo42c2,537$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.597948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo46c2,304$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.7951147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked PortlandFire57c2,234$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.715757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdea…1db5backed PortlandFire59c2,168$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Tempo10c2,151$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7419628.6%56 W · 140 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed PortlandFire56c1,964$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+84.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed PortlandFire51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.396956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo17c1,465$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0232849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Toronto Tempo2c1,165$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.06568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire54c1,057$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9721546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Toronto Tempo3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Toronto Tempo48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire79c973.49$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.181,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Tempo42c959.36$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6819658.2%114 W · 82 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo37c846.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7390449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked PortlandFire57c843.8$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.964759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed PortlandFire57c842.47$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2615746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79d…6b36backed Toronto Tempo12c802.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Toronto Tempo3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Toronto Tempo11c725.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2710854.6%59 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo42c714.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo41c653$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.7342046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Toronto Tempo44c625$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed PortlandFire66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.064156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Toronto Tempo8c589.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Toronto Tempo10c561.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.972425%6 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo43c553.51$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0433839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Toronto Tempo2c533.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4999…aa53backed Toronto Tempo3c533$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Toronto Tempo7c529.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.945949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721e…3439backed PortlandFire57c517.24$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Tempo41c454.95$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5314942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked PortlandFire67c426.8$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1915351%78 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed PortlandFire71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed PortlandFire57c410.26$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2732850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Toronto Tempo3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.413124.4%32 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Toronto Tempo13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529513.7%13 W · 82 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Tempo44c326.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1213649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Toronto Tempo41c316.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.077841%32 W · 46 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34b3…486cbacked Toronto Tempo44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+217.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked PortlandFire69c276$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.387368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20f2…8504backed Toronto Tempo15c270$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Toronto Tempo9c260.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed Toronto Tempo44c256.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.861040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo6c256.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4435118.5%65 W · 286 L-49.3wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-57.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe741…84e1backed Toronto Tempo40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed PortlandFire57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick45cpaid+208.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Toronto Tempo41c238.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.859549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo41c237.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3819847.5%94 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Toronto Tempo44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Tempo44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo39c222.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.941446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire57c219$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1793248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed PortlandFire56c199.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.172937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe29b…d251backed PortlandFire52c182.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked PortlandFire57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf505…8862backed PortlandFire57c174.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.261369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Toronto Tempo42c174$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.089336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdefb…5b50backed Toronto Tempo11c162.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.374025%10 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked PortlandFire57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.232148.6%156 W · 165 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto Tempo12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.224255.4%134 W · 108 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo16c158$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7831249.4%154 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…9fd7backed Toronto Tempo13c150.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Toronto Tempo14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo41c141.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0630734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ccf…ef8abacked Toronto Tempo8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104763.8%30 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo41c124.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2776142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed PortlandFire57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.68846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Tempo43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.627649.6%137 W · 139 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Toronto Tempo43c113.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.776854.4%37 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo41c101$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7941051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked PortlandFire55c100.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8314148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Toronto Tempo43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked PortlandFire57c99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.512653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo43c98.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.225345.8%116 W · 137 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Toronto Tempo44c91.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.495839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Toronto Tempo47c90.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7520440.7%83 W · 121 L-16.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Toronto Tempo43c89.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.314242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Toronto Tempo48c89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.723040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed PortlandFire80c88.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.787035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed PortlandFire60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3313448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed PortlandFire58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.