WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 188.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5a36390bd997d058b7f408f95d0206c9bd64343c25381b7177a6526e92736aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 3,133$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 44c | 2,873$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.07 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 46c | 1,543$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.13 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 1,484$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.69 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 11c | 1,015$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 958.04$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 881.51$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.52 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae2…d963backed Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 462.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 54c | 369.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 337$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 63c | 265$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Over | 48c | 208.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 48c | 174.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 60c | 170.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 53c | 165.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Under | 55c | 146.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 145.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 140.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 138.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 75c | 138.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 26c | 135.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 112.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 105.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 49c | 99.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 47c | 98.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 96.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 58c | 88.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 25c | 71.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 69.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Under | 54c | 52.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 47c | 50.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 59c | 49.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 48c | 47.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 46c | 46.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 53c | 44.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 69c | 43.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 43.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Under | 69c | 40.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 50c | 39.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 56c | 38.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 36.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 70c | 35.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 46c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed Under | 73c | 30.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 55c | 27.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 55c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 54c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 54c | 22.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 49c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 54c | 20.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 188.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.