TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c3,356$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.3238940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under53c3,000$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.718259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c2,857$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.741,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under47c2,129$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.9351147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c2,060$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.621,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c2,000$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.7533839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,815$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.415945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under50c1,394$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.86750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c1,285$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.5490449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under50c1,026$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.8214452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over49c979.59$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c956.21$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.961,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Over55c914.49$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c884.36$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1841051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under51c853.27$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.15757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c728$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6276142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over49c631.94$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d6d6backed Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c492.31$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6585948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c483.66$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9251552.6%271 W · 244 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c449.75$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8532849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c430$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2159751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Under53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.091266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over47c393.02$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.726836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c387.98$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4347246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fc…9e1fbacked Under52c382$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under48c327.2$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1510854.6%59 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Over35c303.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.082825%7 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c236.32$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.829548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c218$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5456455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under60c213.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under53c203.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9516141%66 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-76.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Under51c197.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.841338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Under64c177.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under62c155.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0337054.1%200 W · 170 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under53c154.8$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.854562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under62c146.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7131249.4%154 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over44c141$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0419650.5%99 W · 97 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under46c134.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.79051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over50c118.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.145839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c114.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0139045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.353053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Over57c98.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.462653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Over55c97.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.473644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Under31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.777944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533248.8%162 W · 170 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Under52c93.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.071442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under45c93.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.825853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under45c89.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.435254.3%191 W · 161 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Under47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.073040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under48c87.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.120440.7%83 W · 121 L-16.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under57c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.018836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under52c82.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7630054%162 W · 138 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over43c76.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7825345.8%116 W · 137 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under62c74.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1541446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over49c67.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8532850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over53c64.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4513661.8%84 W · 52 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over44c59.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9811053.6%59 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f3c…1c56backed Over36c55.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under51c55.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0115453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e75…47e1backed Over49c54.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb082…5138backed Under74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under48c52.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.388556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.488356.6%47 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47df…2183backed Over59c50.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Under65c49.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c65…2e0dbacked Under51c48.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c46.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4624656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.546555.4%36 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Under51c44.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.573161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.115748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over41c41.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.988640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Over42c41.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.545759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed Over39c40.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over52c40.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.935558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c40.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7134448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1a…ff69backed Under53c37.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over49c37.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3626054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under55c36.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6630347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over50c34.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.137147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over43c33.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5525447.2%120 W · 134 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.