TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland Fireof Portland Fire, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdea…1db5backed Toronto Tempo51c51,778$26,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,406.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Portland Fire49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.999245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Toronto Tempo52c13,231$6,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.848447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Portland Fire48c8,631$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.1846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire48c6,502$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.7238650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Toronto Tempo52c5,663$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.449140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Toronto Tempo53c5,565$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.327159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf08…907ebacked Portland Fire50c4,794$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Fire48c4,523$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.3383748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Toronto Tempo51c3,933$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.732045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Portland Fire49c2,969$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.3641145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Toronto Tempo52c2,816$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Toronto Tempo52c2,723$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.63839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Portland Fire51c2,114$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.945657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo45c2,050$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.0599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Portland Fire48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0409042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8613746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Portland Fire47c1,920$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.585341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe6…4797backed Toronto Tempo49c1,740$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Portland Fire57c1,315$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4555255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Portland Fire49c1,249$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.994456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4011…ced5backed Portland Fire48c1,231$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Toronto Tempo50c1,227$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Toronto Tempo51c1,127$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire53c1,076$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.7250646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Toronto Tempo51c1,030$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.32352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Portland Fire49c1,024$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Portland Fire49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.215746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked Toronto Tempo50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire57c957.62$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1637141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Portland Fire48c859.5$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.948146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire51c769.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.781,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire49c714.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Toronto Tempo48c665.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6713742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Toronto Tempo53c622.64$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0894…d819backed Toronto Tempo52c603.41$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Toronto Tempo49c512.03$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.937549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Toronto Tempo50c495.56$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Toronto Tempo21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Toronto Tempo50c437.28$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.647655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Portland Fire57c390.39$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8712661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Toronto Tempo51c389.52$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4813249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo53c328.8$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2632540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…cfdabacked Portland Fire51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Portland Fire48c276$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbf8…bf62backed Portland Fire51c265$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Toronto Tempo49c249.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.059827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…0904backed Portland Fire51c233.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.941631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Portland Fire50c201.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Portland Fire48c200.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Toronto Tempo51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Portland Fire49c199.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2314345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Portland Fire49c193.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.532152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Portland Fire50c151$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.514452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Portland Fire48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7839947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Portland Fire50c141.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4312359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Portland Fire50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire48c135.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Portland Fire48c131$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.129348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Portland Fire49c109.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5632750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Portland Fire56c107.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8512650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Portland Fire49c106$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.595839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Portland Fire50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…8f46backed Toronto Tempo52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Tempo51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Toronto Tempo51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.996544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Fire48c99.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Portland Fire50c93.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.056350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Portland Fire49c79.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.068149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Portland Fire52c75.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.28556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Portland Fire50c70.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Portland Fire48c68.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.523850%19 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Toronto Tempo49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.429336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Portland Fire51c55.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.327470.3%52 W · 22 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Toronto Tempo46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Portland Fire55c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.853040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Portland Fire49c52.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Portland Fire48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Portland Fire48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0938…a9a8backed Portland Fire50c51.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Portland Fire50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2517343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd88…beeebacked Portland Fire49c49.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Portland Fire51c44.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.573161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Portland Fire52c42.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.810853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Portland Fire54c42.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5620340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Toronto Tempo40c42.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.986530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Portland Fire48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Portland Fire49c35.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.973053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Portland Fire48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo51c30.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3934448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Portland Fire52c30.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4319257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Portland Fire50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Portland Fire50c28.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0124656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Portland Fire53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3213355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a6…541ebacked Portland Fire50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c34…b7adbacked Portland Fire52c22.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.623046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Portland Fire50c20.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1315453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda55…c451backed Portland Fire50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.