WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c874f3b94a32b374a526e7dd9957f0720f02c9bdc14f0a89d03d6a9c8f45518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Portland Fire, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdea…1db5backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 51,778$26,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,406.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Portland Fire | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 13,231$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,847.84 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Portland Fire | 48c | 8,631$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.18 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 6,502$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.72 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 5,663$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.44 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 5,565$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.32 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Portland Fire | 50c | 4,794$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Fire | 48c | 4,523$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.33 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 3,933$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Portland Fire | 49c | 2,969$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.36 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 2,816$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 2,723$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 2,114$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.94 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 2,050$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Portland Fire | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.86 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 1,920$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.58 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,740$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland Fire | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 1,249$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…ced5backed Portland Fire | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,227$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire | 53c | 1,076$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.72 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 1,024$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Portland Fire | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire | 57c | 957.62$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 859.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.94 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 51c | 769.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.78 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire | 49c | 714.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.82 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 665.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.67 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 603.41$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 512.03$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 495.56$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Toronto Tempo | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 437.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Portland Fire | 57c | 390.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 389.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 328.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Portland Fire | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 276$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…bf62backed Portland Fire | 51c | 265$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 249.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Portland Fire | 51c | 233.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland Fire | 50c | 201.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Portland Fire | 48c | 200.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Portland Fire | 49c | 199.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 193.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Portland Fire | 50c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Portland Fire | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Portland Fire | 50c | 141.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Portland Fire | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire | 48c | 135.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Portland Fire | 48c | 131$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Portland Fire | 49c | 109.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Portland Fire | 56c | 107.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Portland Fire | 49c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Portland Fire | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…8f46backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Fire | 48c | 99.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Portland Fire | 50c | 93.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Portland Fire | 49c | 79.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Portland Fire | 52c | 75.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Portland Fire | 50c | 70.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Portland Fire | 48c | 68.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Portland Fire | 51c | 55.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Portland Fire | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Portland Fire | 49c | 52.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Portland Fire | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Portland Fire | 50c | 51.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Portland Fire | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…beeebacked Portland Fire | 49c | 49.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Portland Fire | 52c | 42.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Portland Fire | 54c | 42.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 42.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Portland Fire | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Portland Fire | 49c | 35.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Portland Fire | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 30.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Portland Fire | 52c | 30.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Portland Fire | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Portland Fire | 50c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Portland Fire | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…541ebacked Portland Fire | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Portland Fire | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…c451backed Portland Fire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 188.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.