TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf03b…3ba1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
312
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT18044.4%80 W · 100 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guobacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$373.38
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.48
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.39
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$228.29
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$999.62
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Hsieh/Ostapenko vs Kempen/Panovabacked Kempen/Panova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$499.06
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$693.64
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$526.29
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$525
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$531.96
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$357.5
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$427.3
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$828.05
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+288.6%+$865.7
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.96
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$823.42
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$406
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$583.26
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$649.37
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$476.43
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$293.33
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.53
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.97
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.86
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.53
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+95%+$569.96
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$336.98
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$450
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$408.08
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$378.18
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$338.64
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$144.2
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$364.22
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$274.91
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$965
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.03
Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$353.88
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.42
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$633
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$337.26
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Washington Wizardsbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$185.94
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$262.77
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.38
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+108%+$269.92
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+245.9%+$368.87
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$362.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$675.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$406.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$346
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.