Mls · resolved market
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5b1fb26144432b91beff09ee9e2e3ca38b18adfcd17c90cac8ef577f0b37d09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 49c | 201,378$98,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,594.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 89,090$45,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,645.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 51c | 15,048$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,373.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 51c | 10,849$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.01 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 51c | 9,720$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 51c | 7,347$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 7,059$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.67 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 66c | 6,301$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 4,173$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.34 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 4,123$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.1 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 51c | 4,073$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.44 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 51c | 3,894$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.06 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 51c | 3,414$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.64 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 3,350$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.55 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 73c | 2,935$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.93 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed No | 52c | 2,762$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 70c | 2,677$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 51c | 2,395$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.75 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,224$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 2,205$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.45 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 2,204$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 2,163$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.13 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 51c | 2,069$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.6 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 1,833$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 1,485$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.15 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 68c | 1,453$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.12 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 1,355$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.61 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 51c | 1,343$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.94 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 51c | 1,240$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 50c | 1,203$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.36 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 51c | 1,203$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.25 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 54c | 1,202$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.23 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 26c | 917.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.3 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 49c | 851.13$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 51c | 797.8$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed No | 45c | 736.69$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 730$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 51c | 592.16$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 51c | 535.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 33c | 525$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 54c | 500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 49c | 489$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 49c | 451.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed No | 51c | 412.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 52c | 401.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.91 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 14c | 372.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 365.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 51c | 349.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 51c | 344$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 32c | 341$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 51c | 335.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 49c | 312.79$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 45c | 295.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 12c | 269.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 266.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Yes | 51c | 259.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 75c | 254.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 50c | 250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 246.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed No | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Yes | 50c | 192.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Yes | 50c | 192.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 51c | 191$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 50c | 177.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 71c | 177.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed No | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 51c | 169.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 31c | 154$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 150.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 131.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 129.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 48c | 121.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 51c | 120.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 114.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…b473backed Yes | 50c | 110.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…f413backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Yes | 50c | 98.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Yes | 50c | 96.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 51c | 95.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 69c | 88.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.