TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc7e…06a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+474.1%+$711.13
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.56
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$108.21
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.8
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$133.92
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$95.76
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$115.38
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$161.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$258.17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$188.35
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.07
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.08
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.62
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$181.25
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$142.8
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.11
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.17
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3116.1%5 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Alex de Minaur Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Fils vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Fritz vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Joao Fonseca Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elina Svitolina Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Learner Tien Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brooksby vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$113.99
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.62
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+345.8%+$103.09
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+155%+$76.85
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+126.8%+$67.65
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wisconsin win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will St. John's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Robert Morris vs. Alabamabacked Robert Morris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+114.5%+$28.62
Will UC San Diego win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 21 picks, newest first.
Golflast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Doug Ghim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.96
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Kevin Yu win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.2
Will Kevin Yu finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$88.97
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+248.6%+$42.48
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 19 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)backed Nashville SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$105.69
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-71.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.41
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$384.73
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.8
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$107
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$87.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+166.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+290.1%+$223.1
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.