Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ea94912a77015b509f9d1bc4d4155945613fdbafd40d5dccb39529cbf18e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 63c | 351,565$221,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,544.85 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 37c | 94,348$35,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,116.41 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes | 63c | 78,805$49,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,061.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 37c | 58,454$21,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,628.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,499.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 37c | 28,250$10,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,452.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 25,306$14,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,162.69 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 22,113$8,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,383.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 15,215$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.42 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 37c | 15,099$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.63 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed No | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 14,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 13,229$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.27 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed No | 38c | 13,158$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 37c | 10,400$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 9,899$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.92 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 9,650$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.63 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 8,168$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.17 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 62c | 6,040$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.92 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 5,397$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.54 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.79 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 68c | 4,940$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.69 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 4,898$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.98 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,809$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.83 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 75c | 4,622$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 4,250$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.89 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 5c | 3,841$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 65c | 3,781$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.61 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 3,125$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 3,125$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 3,040$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 2,580$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.18 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed No | 56c | 2,491$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,319$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.69 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 39c | 2,115$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.85 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 49c | 1,952$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.52 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,755$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.34 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked No | 37c | 1,337$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 37c | 1,137$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 2c | 1,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 38c | 1,035$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.16 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 38c | 1,019$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.42 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 36c | 1,016$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.73 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 36c | 991$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.87 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 973.93$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.02 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 36c | 840$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 39c | 824.5$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.22 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Yes | 63c | 772.52$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 13c | 688$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 38c | 683.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.56 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 38c | 681.53$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 658.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.36 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 37c | 644.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 554.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 528.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 36c | 510.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 38c | 484.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 37c | 470.86$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 38c | 463.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 29c | 443.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 37c | 424.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 405$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 391.05$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 391$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 43c | 385.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 378$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 44c | 341.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…0312backed No | 71c | 323.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 305$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 52c | 288.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 38c | 277$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 29c | 276$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 36c | 257.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 65c | 256.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed Yes | 35c | 240.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 28c | 220.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 54c | 219.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 44c | 218.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 38c | 190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.