Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66528c8a3ab8f0c5654c3f4c3fbf5d232b66c3a0559979c8de5fccacebcbac9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 14,494$11,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.16 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 27c | 10,415$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.85 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,900$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 21c | 3,435$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.33 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 3,256$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.61 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,281$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.68 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 2,163$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.93 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 2,004$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,830$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.69 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 1,401$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 69c | 1,324$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.71 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 32c | 1,086$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.43 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,067$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 31c | 1,027$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 69c | 768.08$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 684.68$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed No | 78c | 646.15$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 645$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 32c | 588.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 70c | 575$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 566.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes | 21c | 502$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 21c | 413.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 38c | 362$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 354.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 333.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 314.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 307.6$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 18c | 277.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 15c | 220.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 184.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 69c | 166.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 23c | 133.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 59c | 132.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 26c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 75c | 99.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 98.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 67c | 95.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 21c | 92.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 76c | 89.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 89.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 56c | 86.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 22c | 86.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 21c | 86.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 79c | 86.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Yes | 21c | 85.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 85.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 20c | 83.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 20c | 83.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 21c | 82.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…977dbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 21c | 79.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 18c | 79.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 69.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 65c | 66.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 65.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 22c | 65.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 62.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 41c | 55.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 22c | 45.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 57c | 34.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked No | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 76c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.