TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes60c29,269$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,499.9198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes17c21,841$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.935743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c11,268$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,152.711,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.962920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No19c8,286$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,705.8687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes7c6,016$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes44c5,108$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No65c4,640$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.7927058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No19c4,459$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.753450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed No65c3,296$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.444344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes63c2,999$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.0910840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c2,759$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.13,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No42c2,668$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.6613228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes43c2,288$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.01850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes77c2,216$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.0917137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes20c2,103$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed No80c1,850$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3703100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes46c1,746$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c1,589$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.631,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes17c1,550$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c1,454$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes21c1,375$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No36c1,292$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.923525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No79c1,279$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.595451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes48c1,238$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.0336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No80c1,075$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21532848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes56c875.66$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.223240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No24c869.9$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.741968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No44c853$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.6820660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No19c828$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.334955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes17c771.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.666145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Yes35c706.91$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No46c623.87$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6919642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes30c611.09$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No35c499.04$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.383161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No42c493.35$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c461.57$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes24c460$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.964346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Yes73c409.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.30per pick69cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c407.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes5c399$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.959726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes68c391.04$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes59c388$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7114549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed No20c375$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No41c366.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.119645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No36c312.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick33cpaid+231.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No24c308.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.779540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17729370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes17c300$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210612.3%13 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed No19c298.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+253.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes72c294.25$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.925652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes76c291.07$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9213464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No19c268.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.92548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked No19c258.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.341275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes65c249$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1944350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes21c247.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes54c241.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.331,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed No19c238$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.642661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No19c236.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.45350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes17c236$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.124528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes57c228.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.519070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5db4…ba8ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No27c222.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5912551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No36c222.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.682040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.912667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Yes17c201.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked No19c195.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed No19c191.89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+253.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked No20c190.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick14cpaid+229.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes64c190.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5319852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Yes59c166.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes17c160.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.256847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes17c157.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7612650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c155.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5673438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes63c155.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes18c152.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes66c143$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed No29c138.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No43c132.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.014566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes68c125$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5627344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee5…fba1backed No39c123.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked No57c113.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.822556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No79c112.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.684780.9%38 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No69c112$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.174850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be2…e4c7backed No19c109$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+419.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaaa…6783backed No19c106.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+253.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked No29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4207…fe8abacked No19c103.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+159.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes17c96.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.348652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09cd…9502backed Yes17c95.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed No29c93.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No18c89.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.32133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.