MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55319acd70b78de2bc18ea136860be163476cdc81d4948c74235a373809c25c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 87,804$45,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,316.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 52,441$26,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,336.26 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 49c | 39,386$19,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,143.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 22,630$11,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,363.48 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 20,824$10,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,437.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 16c | 16,701$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 53c | 13,298$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 9,603$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.69 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed New York Mets | 49c | 7,186$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.74 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 5,472$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Mets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 4,642$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.25 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 4,293$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.44 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 4,124$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked New York Mets | 50c | 4,080$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed New York Mets | 49c | 3,561$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 3,474$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 3,149$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.1 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,132$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.85 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 2,471$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.54 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 16c | 2,434$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…bb27backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed New York Mets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Mets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 1,950$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 1,898$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,845$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,797$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,765$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.16 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,568$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,563$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 1,529$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,396$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,299$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.49 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked New York Mets | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,155$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.39 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.55 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Atlanta Braves | 2c | 971.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910f…891ebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 950.62$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 899.99$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed New York Mets | 51c | 893.03$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.33 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 873.25$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets | 49c | 819$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.69 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed New York Mets | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Atlanta Braves | 24c | 795.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 780$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.88 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Atlanta Braves | 25c | 761.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets | 64c | 755.24$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.83 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 69c | 749.33$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 698.61$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 58c | 683.69$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 656$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…cfdfbacked Atlanta Braves | 3c | 609.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed New York Mets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 556.41$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked New York Mets | 62c | 518.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 48c | 507$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 44c | 472.32$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 471.77$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 431.37$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…e0b0backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 424.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 423.47$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…21c0backed New York Mets | 50c | 410.02$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked New York Mets | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 396$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Mets | 57c | 388.55$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 367.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 303.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked New York Mets | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Mets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 288.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 275.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed New York Mets | 60c | 266.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 262.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 262.29$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…d895backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 256.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed New York Mets | 51c | 254.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 77c | 253.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 73c | 243.08$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed New York Mets | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 237.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.