TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over53c53,628$28,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,205.351,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c27,824$13,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,118.4311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over52c27,193$14,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,057.8888349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c18,678$7,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,603.9810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under47c17,705$8,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,321.3573650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c11,441$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233.044,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under47c10,489$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,929.6612149.6%60 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c5,730$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.166,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over53c3,800$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78671253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c2,902$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.751,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c2,809$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.174,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under48c2,806$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.8973949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c1,545$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.933,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over53c1,373$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.3144945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Over54c1,220$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.194057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c1,133$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.218,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over53c1,130$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.17154.9%39 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under48c1,102$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.172,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under48c1,011$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.191,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48064752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under50c925.84$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.921,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c825$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3998,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37632850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.557053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under47c748.3$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.79956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c733.98$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.266,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under48c726.03$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.4948150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under30c697.17$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.151,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under48c683.4$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0387850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c534.11$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.042,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c489.89$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1541346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over52c480.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7615149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over52c454.36$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0975248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c417$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.51,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c416.12$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.581,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under48c365$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7196553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under41c330.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.151,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c303.2$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.929,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4622149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under50c277.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.841048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13044845.8%205 W · 243 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under41c240.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.781,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under47c212.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c209.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over63c195$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.351,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1937256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under47c149.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1748851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under47c148.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under30c148.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.315,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c139$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.722,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under46c114.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.463,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c113$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.245,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over64c112.37$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7555645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Under47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.717348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over54c108.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.12,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under46c107.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under47c106.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0122450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under46c100.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5628553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5384651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717752.5%93 W · 84 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5916751.5%86 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under48c90.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5479555.6%442 W · 353 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Over54c90.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.528746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Over54c85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.157139.4%28 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Over54c81.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.585052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2236650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under47c69.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.181,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.241236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3074143.5%322 W · 419 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under50c57.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9135149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6c…776fbacked Under49c57.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-45.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Under49c55.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1620654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c55.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over54c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8480255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under33c52.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3447646.8%223 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over75c49.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3414750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under25c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c45.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over64c44.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.316539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c44.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.292,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70cf…40ecbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c42.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030848.1%148 W · 160 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over54c36.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9724149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over69c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.578,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.134846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Under49c29.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3521252.4%111 W · 101 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over63c28.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under50c27.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210553.3%56 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f6…1eacbacked Over54c23.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over77c22.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.291,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.