MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1e0268d7ed23382b29d8e330a1fc29468c4a50227e27e74b92f3a186c857a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 53,628$28,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,205.35 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 27,824$13,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,118.43 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 27,193$14,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,057.88 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 18,678$7,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.98 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 17,705$8,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,321.35 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 11,441$7,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.04 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 47c | 10,489$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.66 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 5,730$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.16 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 2,902$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.75 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 2,809$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.17 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 48c | 2,806$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.89 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 1,545$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.93 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 53c | 1,373$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.31 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Over | 54c | 1,220$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.19 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,133$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.19 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 925.84$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.92 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 825$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 47c | 748.3$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 733.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 726.03$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.49 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 30c | 697.17$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 683.4$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.03 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 534.11$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 48c | 489.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 454.36$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.09 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 417$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 416.12$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 365$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 41c | 330.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 303.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 50c | 277.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 41c | 240.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 63c | 195$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 47c | 149.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 148.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 148.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 139$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 46c | 114.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 64c | 112.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 54c | 108.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 46c | 107.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 47c | 106.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 46c | 100.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 48c | 90.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 54c | 90.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 54c | 81.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 69.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 50c | 57.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 49c | 55.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 55.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 33c | 52.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 75c | 49.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 76c | 45.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 64c | 44.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 44.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 42.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 48.1%148 W · 160 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…b228backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 49c | 29.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 63c | 28.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 50c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…1eacbacked Over | 54c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 77c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.