TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,140,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,101,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,140,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks58c341,491$197,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,555.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Hawks43c302,594$128,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,615.316841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Hawks43c263,771$113,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,421.592240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Knicks58c255,665$148,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,379.182347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks58c250,151$144,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,060.5264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hawks42c210,391$88,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,364.0329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hawks42c187,764$79,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,192.5672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Hawks43c129,718$55,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,778.8111137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Hawks0c124,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks61c114,779$70,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,569.8185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Knicks57c111,363$63,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,836.1366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks43c109,999$47,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,349.691,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Hawks43c103,000$44,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,069.793839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Knicks61c73,973$45,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,958.9913642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Hawks0c73,760$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3710941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Knicks57c62,494$35,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,847.4334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Hawks43c60,000$25,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,799.863036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks42c50,229$21,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,100.7931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Hawks43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,499.9154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Knicks69c49,334$34,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,050.136954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Hawks43c44,284$19,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,04269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Knicks68c41,530$28,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,290.238953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52be…99fdbacked Hawks0c40,830$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Hawks42c35,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7004860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks39c33,173$12,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,937.3356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Knicks64c32,963$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,963.355567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ef7…b7bbbacked Knicks58c32,877$19,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,808.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hawks43c32,558$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks58c31,034$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,034.4820352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks75c28,584$21,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,15776850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Knicks57c27,688$15,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,905.847850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks13c27,000$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.3882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Knicks56c26,000$14,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4403138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3de…d680backed Hawks1c25,727$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1270%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Hawks0c23,950$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Hawks42c23,327$9,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,797.3127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks57c23,000$13,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,89043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Hawks3c22,919$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.5810248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Knicks57c22,000$12,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4602642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Hawks8c21,540$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.769950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks57c21,516$12,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,185.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks75c21,430$16,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,390.031,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Knicks58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4003770.3%26 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Hawks13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Knicks58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.9727241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Hawks43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9511447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks61c19,897$12,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,759.771,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Knicks56c17,857$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.1414857.4%85 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Hawks5c16,524$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.1240133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa1…e126backed Knicks58c15,517$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,517.241369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Hawks2c14,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.611034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Hawks43c14,000$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.9914538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Knicks58c13,904$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804.1510747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Hawks0c13,278$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Hawks17c13,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks24c12,962$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.641,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks40c12,003$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c5…fb0fbacked Hawks43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks58c11,500$6,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,86511864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Hawks4c11,120$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.49937.4%37 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Knicks57c11,111$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.735848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks58c10,508$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.1890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Knicks57c10,150$5,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.55347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Hawks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035362.6%221 W · 132 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed Hawks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Knicks58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Hawks11c10,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.21387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Hawks1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Hawks42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8659…9552backed Knicks58c9,962$5,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Hawks39c9,787$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.351241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Hawks5c9,679$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks44c9,609$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks32c9,477$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00022458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Knicks64c9,340$5,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.514252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hawks43c9,157$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9609741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks0c8,799$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.595502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Knicks57c8,750$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.6936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hawks44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.9324252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks30c7,813$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.6759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Hawks3c7,742$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…e972backed Hawks42c7,493$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Knicks58c7,414$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.79850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Knicks58c7,183$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadb6…c177backed Hawks0c6,815$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.632821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks44c6,616$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.031,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Hawks42c6,500$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,74517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Hawks2c6,220$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Hawks0c6,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126532.3%21 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5201,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Hawks6c5,999$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9527731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Hawks43c5,981$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.9938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks56c5,931$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Knicks58c5,686$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.9817147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.1435650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Hawks42c5,300$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2263040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.