TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$872,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,076,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Hawks49c125,663$61,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,561.7672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks49c104,999$51,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,449.721,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks51c104,765$53,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,334.9764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Hawks50c65,249$32,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,623.4169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Knicks51c63,000$32,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,8708452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Hawks49c61,500$30,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,134.913036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Knicks51c59,000$30,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,9105253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Hawks50c58,800$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,4003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Hawks50c49,054$24,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,510.12240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks50c46,515$23,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,308.274,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks50c44,758$22,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,420.659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks51c40,282$20,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,738.3543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Knicks50c39,271$19,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,635.57650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks49c26,444$13,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,020.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Knicks50c24,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0004744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Knicks52c22,501$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,800.354438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hawks52c14,546$7,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.7242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Knicks51c14,088$7,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,903.1237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Knicks52c13,944$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,643.775242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks50c12,800$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Hawks49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88014538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Knicks50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Hawks49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Knicks51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Knicks50c8,601$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks49c8,000$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks50c7,000$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,47011864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Knicks51c6,100$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.9910248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks50c6,043$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.142,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9402,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.911,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Knicks50c5,177$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks49c4,574$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks49c4,475$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.7847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…32b0backed Knicks52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Knicks50c3,563$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.4212450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Hawks50c3,530$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76530452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks51c3,526$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Knicks51c3,520$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.86448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Hawks50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Knicks52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.627642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Hawks49c2,813$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.362842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks50c2,679$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Knicks50c2,575$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.520051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hawks49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks49c2,200$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hawks49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hawks46c1,983$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.0217052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks48c1,929$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.932,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks50c1,920$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Knicks51c1,824$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.9112646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.3935650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4321…8fdcbacked Knicks50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Knicks51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.717054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Knicks51c1,742$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.465354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks61c1,738$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Knicks51c1,667$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.675850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Knicks49c1,650$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hawks49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Hawks39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks49c1,396$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.5244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Knicks51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.478242.7%35 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Knicks49c1,170$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.320537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Knicks50c1,150$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57416053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Knicks50c1,102$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55127450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Knicks53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5174264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cd6…092abacked Hawks48c1,092$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks48c1,065$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Knicks51c1,064$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.42653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Knicks51c1,048$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Hawks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Knicks51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Hawks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Knicks51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Knicks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Knicks51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Knicks50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Knicks51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.8862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72d…5a35backed Knicks50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Hawks49c792$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Hawks48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Hawks48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks53c726.42$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4223342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Knicks51c703.55$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.744946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Knicks52c640.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.389958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc58d…5a74backed Hawks50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Knicks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Knicks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2428046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Hawks52c568.73$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7425150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Knicks50c544.85$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Knicks50c535$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.