TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,816 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under63c4,105$2,602 inLost-$2,602.131957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over40c1,899$752 inWon+$1,146.661,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over35c844.06$294 inWon+$550.293756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Under50c620$310 inLost-$3104531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c600$300 inWon+$3001,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under48c413.92$199 inLost-$198.6814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over24c410.4$97 inWon+$313.6920558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Over56c359.98$202 inWon+$158.3935447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon+$138.466233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over40c226.76$91 inWon+$136.063,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over32c193.08$62 inWon+$131.376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over37c107.14$40 inWon+$67.149949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under45c100.17$45 inLost-$45.1776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon+$40.916246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over52c77.5$40 inWon+$37.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c70.47$34 inLost-$33.722,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over35c57.14$20 inWon+$37.149748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ac…0508backed Over52c57.12$30 inWon+$27.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost-$2023652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over57c46.51$27 inWon+$2011852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over40c34.65$14 inWon+$20.7914153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e8…82d1backed Under49c30$15 inLost-$14.72634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c24$12 inWon+$1269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae26…e478backed Over52c23.08$12 inWon+$11.081650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.