TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Under49c40,723$19,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,954.237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Over51c38,364$19,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,798.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c34,775$17,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,387.5932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under50c18,600$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c12,152$6,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,016.0866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c10,003$5,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under50c4,027$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over71c3,508$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Under43c3,479$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under50c2,260$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under49c2,258$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.663951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c2,255$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.97963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,222$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under45c1,523$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c1,413$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over54c1,302$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.642958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked Under49c1,110$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under49c1,101$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.717946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over78c1,100$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24114946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9916053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ea…ba53backed Under8c1,080$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Under22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.671936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over73c999.92$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.981,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Under25c969.49$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.372744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over75c927.93$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.841,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over54c925.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8211034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under43c919.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.64257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under51c894.31$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c800.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c793.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c766.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Under2c645.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.166732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9927246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.242142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa564…e6f3backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under6c538.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c492$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under13c480.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.12532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c480.32$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c463$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over60c450.23$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.71,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c412.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.921,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under52c385.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c381.84$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.383,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Under50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over60c333.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over72c332.31$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0511639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under25c328.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1511329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c303.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9229046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.514957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under55c272.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over51c269$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.817452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13062051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under29c259.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.411,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Under25c243$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6813036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under22c229.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.726524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over51c227.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4514155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under44c217.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over49c216.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6927549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c213.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.733243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under18c203.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa543…9a38backed Under49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812539.2%49 W · 76 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0838432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…c6c2backed Over51c171$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over51c170.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5910552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ada…c921backed Under27c157$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.522942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over50c145$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.557550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c143.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over68c140.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over76c139.56$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Over50c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.54042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.