TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hawks64c94,544$60,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,362.4720758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks36c41,398$14,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,470.514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks49c18,364$9,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,349.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Knicks37c13,243$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,343.2425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Knicks36c12,351$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,880.9828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hawks39c10,157$4,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.0742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Hawks31c7,714$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.820744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks36c6,274$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks36c5,206$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hawks64c3,600$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Hawks1c2,857$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Hawks28c2,565$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.1816659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Knicks36c2,385$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.416743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Knicks68c2,285$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.933756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hawks64c1,868$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.5256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Knicks36c1,778$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks65c1,550$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1843269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Knicks61c1,534$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.485540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks62c1,267$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Knicks39c1,258$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.37545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69318643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Hawks2c930$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe0…a3fabacked Knicks66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Hawks64c623.35$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7539864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks43c580$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.62,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks64c560.97$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.591,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Knicks36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5617047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks36c524.63$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.761,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Hawks64c424.13$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks36c409.19$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.881,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks37c405.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Knicks38c389.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd323…c53fbacked Knicks37c387.54$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.941136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Knicks55c344$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6726639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Knicks37c337.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8414155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks53c325$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks57c315.51$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…abbbbacked Hawks64c309.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.392450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…6330backed Hawks65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Knicks52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14314449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Knicks36c298$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Hawks23c292.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Knicks53c239$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1313036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Knicks53c239$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1211329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks53c217$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9753945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Knicks55c213$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3423441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Knicks52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9724936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Knicks37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5412…6214backed Knicks52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Knicks52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9717748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Knicks36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12810045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed Knicks52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8a…8730backed Knicks52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x137f…6689backed Knicks36c189.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Knicks36c188.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8914851.4%76 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Knicks41c173.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Hawks60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Knicks36c160.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8144347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Hawks64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Knicks38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9323652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks36c149.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks36c146.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks36c138$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Hawks10c132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Knicks39c128.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4111850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Knicks63c126.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1113949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Knicks36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Knicks37c124.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4510248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ada…c921backed Knicks48c119.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Knicks52c119$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.731238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Knicks51c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.386648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Knicks51c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3813837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Hawks65c110.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7247357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Knicks55c109$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Knicks38c106.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.429347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Knicks37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.74551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Knicks55c100.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.123649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Knicks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4610357.3%59 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks65c88.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks52c86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1116640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Knicks52c86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1121242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c3…d69ebacked Knicks59c84.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks67c83.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Hawks64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Hawks64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks65c72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Hawks26c67.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.586325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid+36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks70c66.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Knicks44c66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.776524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks36c64.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14c…3d54backed Hawks48c62.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Hawks64c60.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Knicks37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Knicks38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Hawks52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.242434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Knicks44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.827534.7%26 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Knicks71c56.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.498457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawks45c56.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Knicks36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e4…c644backed Hawks45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.