NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635309fb4754156512a3f6c6f1227c87e18d2f429139aa141e513bf072c15bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 46c | 4,023$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hawks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks | 55c | 2,695$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.55 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Knicks | 55c | 2,695$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.55 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 57c | 2,659$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 45c | 2,518$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.08 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Hawks | 46c | 2,170$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Knicks | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Hawks | 45c | 1,580$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.99 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 54c | 1,212$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Knicks | 55c | 1,022$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.06 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Knicks | 54c | 970$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 54c | 875.46$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.71 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Hawks | 46c | 856.04$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.78 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Hawks | 45c | 749.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.19 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Knicks | 54c | 688.83$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Hawks | 46c | 666.79$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.72 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Hawks | 21c | 547.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Knicks | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Knicks | 55c | 435.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Knicks | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 77c | 377$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Hawks | 46c | 347.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 46c | 328.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Knicks | 54c | 299.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Hawks | 45c | 299.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Knicks | 55c | 246.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Hawks | 47c | 185.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Knicks | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Hawks | 47c | 124$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Hawks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Knicks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Knicks | 54c | 99.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…164abacked Knicks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Hawks | 46c | 74.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked Hawks | 45c | 70.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hawks | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Knicks | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Knicks | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Knicks | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Knicks | 55c | 51.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hawks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Hawks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Knicks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Knicks | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks | 45c | 36.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hawks | 46c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Hawks | 46c | 29.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…13febacked Knicks | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Knicks | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 41c | 26.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…c52cbacked Hawks | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Knicks | 54c | 23.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Hawks | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Knicks | 53c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Knicks | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.