TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb68b…9b23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 63 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$749.99
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$280.87
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$296.11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,962.99
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$378
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,759.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+360.8%+$357.89
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+182%+$696.98
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.99
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,451.84
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$635
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$492
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$2,175.98
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.48
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,156.46
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)backed Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.29
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$244.99
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$385
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.01
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+102%+$1,007.38
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$543.15
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$101.5
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-6.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$489.81
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$381.82
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,002.82
Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$430
Spread: Houston Cougars (-19.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+144.2%+$624.99
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$154.31
Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$376.22
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$427.8
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-9.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,805Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+106.9%+$4,069.25
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,044Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+105.4%+$3,208.62
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,016Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+105.1%+$1,067.62
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.34
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$180
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,807.72
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.24
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$47.31
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,003.41
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$100
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$520
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.7%+$394.65
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$520
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$639.1
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+144.6%+$2,169.64
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153.7
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,079.99
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$518.56
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$525
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$515.92
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.14
Spread: Chiefs (-12.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$594.8
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$353.37
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.9
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$572.19
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$577.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$756.44
Spread: Vanderbilt (-5.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$700
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,024.77
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,419.93
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$758.43
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,045.69
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Notre Dame (-32.5)backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,504.32
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$559.97
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,062.31
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.9%+$862
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$588.2
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,082.42
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$349.94
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$316.26
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$934.52
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$168
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,011Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,713.06
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+123.8%+$562.63
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.59
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$860.94
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$650
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$431.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$897.31
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,476.22
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,570
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.86
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$635.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$795.68
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.68
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,408.02
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$940
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,180.36
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,775.45
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$541.5
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.9
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$186.3
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$388.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,389.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$122.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$161
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$203
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.