MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745b6bec8c5826adde0468de9a78d9a59f83886e34900ec9ee6a01382e3af9ec

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $615,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $728,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,176 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	150,000$97,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,499.95	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	90,000$57,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,400	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets	35c	89,581$31,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,778.31	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets	36c	75,101$26,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,986.43	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa1…e126backed New York Mets	37c	51,677$19,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,120.36	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	3c	37,932$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.79	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies	63c	36,000$22,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,319.97	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies	69c	19,053$13,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,885.56	441	54.2%239 W · 202 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets	35c	15,745$5,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,510.75	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	35c	12,869$4,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,504.14	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	33c	12,519$4,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,154.39	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	12,152$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,374.56	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets	28c	10,927$3,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050.6	970	44.9%436 W · 534 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	10,849$6,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,905.62	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	34c	9,720$3,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,289.93	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets	33c	8,661$2,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,858.18	884	46.3%409 W · 475 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed New York Mets	35c	7,500$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,625	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	6,282$4,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,198.67	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets	35c	5,720$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,984.92	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	35c	5,694$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.34	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	5,469$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,968.75	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets	1c	4,444$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	26c	4,273$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.96	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	70c	4,235$2,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.5	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets	23c	4,018$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.14	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets	36c	3,500$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets	35c	3,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	247	39.3%97 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies	62c	2,925$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.58	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed New York Mets	35c	2,850$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.5	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies	77c	2,845$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.44	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets	35c	2,810$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.32	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets	36c	2,030$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.16	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Philadelphia Phillies	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.98	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Philadelphia Phillies	73c	1,858$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.79	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-12.5wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	1,800$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets	35c	1,649$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.29	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	1,631$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.77	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets	18c	1,599$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.13	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets	35c	1,588$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.91	926	45.9%425 W · 501 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	37c	1,538$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.21	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Mets	36c	1,500$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	624	47.6%297 W · 327 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed New York Mets	37c	1,466$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.43	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked New York Mets	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets	19c	1,210$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.67	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked New York Mets	3c	1,172$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	263	15.6%41 W · 222 L	-11.9wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets	35c	1,098$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.31	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e5…38e7backed New York Mets	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	877$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.12	4,087	57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L	+66.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…38e5backed New York Mets	37c	856.76$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	835$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.6	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies	76c	787.23$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.71	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	769.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.23	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets	35c	756.2$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.67	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	748.91$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.18	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	725.84$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.07	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets	35c	715.71$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.5	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets	29c	711.05$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets	35c	709.46$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.31	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	35c	695.01$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.73	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed New York Mets	35c	685.71$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed New York Mets	28c	678.57$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	649.36$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.77	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	648.59$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.46	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43aa…a091backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	634.92$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.92	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked New York Mets	4c	632.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c32…967dbacked New York Mets	38c	627.87$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.59	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	625$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	615.38$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.38	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets	35c	600$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets	36c	599.97$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.87	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Philadelphia Phillies	74c	598.65$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.65	231	66.7%154 W · 77 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Philadelphia Phillies	74c	504.66$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.21	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	500.11$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.04	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed New York Mets	36c	499.92$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.97	1,012	51.2%518 W · 494 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets	37c	477.21$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.57	1,293	47.3%611 W · 682 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets	35c	468.92$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.61	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked New York Mets	24c	458.48$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.07	401	46.1%185 W · 216 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed New York Mets	34c	453.3$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.42	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7668…bc8fbacked New York Mets	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets	38c	414.98$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.82	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed New York Mets	10c	411.67$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	223	12.1%27 W · 196 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked New York Mets	25c	411.52$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.27	289	52.6%152 W · 137 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed New York Mets	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4bb…a993backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	400$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10bd…d00dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	383.02$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.23	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed New York Mets	35c	383$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.05	688	46.8%322 W · 366 L	+9.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Philadelphia Phillies	73c	381.39$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.78	407	53.6%218 W · 189 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed New York Mets	35c	379$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.65	446	43.3%193 W · 253 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Philadelphia Phillies	74c	378.38$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.38	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	63c	362.89$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.18	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked New York Mets	30c	345.75$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.07	161	35.4%57 W · 104 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets	38c	340$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.2	1,418	43.4%616 W · 802 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed New York Mets	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets	37c	320$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.4	516	46.9%242 W · 274 L	-21.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Mets	24c	317.65$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.24	2,172	39.9%866 W · 1,306 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	316.22$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.05	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	312.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	129	57.4%74 W · 55 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	816	57.1%466 W · 350 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event