TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c8,139$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.3847953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c7,220$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.7111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c7,085$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540.664,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c4,542$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.1210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c3,600$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.0312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9955053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under11c2,951$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.611,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under11c1,985$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.353,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c1,982$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.944,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c1,563$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over50c1,438$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.9892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over49c1,219$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4217546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under11c1,049$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3977752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over51c1,007$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.4489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c867.38$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.456,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over50c702.19$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5227249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over44c598.6$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.222,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56c…bdd5backed Under56c549.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.995545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over51c486.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.587037.1%26 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over50c485.9$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over53c474.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.475,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over51c378.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2520945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c351.26$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.873,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under15c333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9515848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c205.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.784,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…2753backed Over53c205.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0851545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over44c202$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.121,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c186.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c148.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.691,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0613552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c139.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7147350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c132.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1954152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over51c132.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.740554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over51c123.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over50c120.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1499744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over43c117.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under50c102.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2857747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over50c101$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20f8…f1a7backed Over50c98.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over47c84.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9320944%92 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c81.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.962,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over47c70.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2131343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7118551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.057343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over49c53.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4235849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under49c52.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5442448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under48c51.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.731,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2835248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under46c48.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.095,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Over58c46.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6214259.2%84 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c42.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9551555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over61c40.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8910056%56 W · 44 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over46c40.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0777836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8220950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b4…c19bbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under51c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over49c36.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8227351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3639250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over51c35.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2711551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over50c34.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3625448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over51c31.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6626753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over51c29.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6127146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Over51c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5510253.9%55 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Over51c25.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5127557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over51c22.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0445246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Over47c22.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6711052.7%58 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over50c21.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5720362.6%127 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over51c20.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2523851.3%122 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under51c20.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.327345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under51c20.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.344553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6500backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.158056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.