TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20f8…f1a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.58
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.79
Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.35
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.13
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.41
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$57.12
Panama to score first vs. Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.93
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.59
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.07
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.91
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.74
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.65
Algeria to score first vs. Jordan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.46
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.96
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.26
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.84
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$33.49
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.19
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Abacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.45
Map Handicap: ATRIX (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)backed Atrix Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5)backed shimmer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsbacked shimmer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.91
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)backed Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.28
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.39
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.26
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.8
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$11.19
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.45
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$17.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$104.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.03
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.83
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.6
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.24
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.19
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+101%+$37.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Hyder Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.