MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c59693bb75ae06fa735619157952748dc018cdd480db982b9c32548e46b0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 55c | 71,896$39,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,017.54 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 20,637$9,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 16,455$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 10,840$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 7,851$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 54c | 6,762$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.42 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 60c | 5,821$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.76 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 5,455$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.84 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 5,386$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.25 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 5,165$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 4,789$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 4,114$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 54c | 3,709$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.64 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,249$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 52c | 1,685$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.56 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…d347backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 856.33$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 825$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 801.86$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 30c | 474.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 473$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 48c | 469$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 46c | 446.74$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 394.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 384.66$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 60c | 369.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 19c | 357.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.35 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 328.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 37c | 312.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 46c | 280.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 52c | 263$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 234$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 45c | 222.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 52c | 208.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 58c | 206.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 179.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 150.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 29c | 149.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 73c | 134.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 59c | 127.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 76c | 118$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 23c | 115.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 111.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 32c | 108.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 83.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed Under | 54c | 72.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Under | 48c | 63.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 47c | 56.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 51.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 49.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 52c | 49.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 46c | 44.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 52c | 42.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 47c | 42.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 45c | 41.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…91ccbacked Under | 31c | 38.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 46c | 36.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…3a32backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 46c | 34.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 63c | 30.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.