MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1484c2cba67691f44e7cff7438161e12869d9c324dbc75590cdaccb819ef6953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 16,326$8,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.29 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 13,328$7,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.79 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 10,000$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.71 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 7,282$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 7,205$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 6,216$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.4 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 6,138$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,606$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 3,289$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 2,770$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 2,726$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.93 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,390$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 2,019$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 1,984$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 1,561$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,513$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.09 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 917$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…fcf7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 869.47$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 745.4$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 661$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.95 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 655.68$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.21 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 503.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 474$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 456.54$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 456$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 422.55$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 226.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 226.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 205.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 188.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 136.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 109.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 108.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 107.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 102.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 101.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 97.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 95.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 86.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 67.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 66.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 63.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 62.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 59.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 57.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 55.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 50.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 45.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 43.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 42.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 39.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 38.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 35.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 32.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 32.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…6498backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…1795backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 24.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 23.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.