MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4818577c2556f74bf1399ef096a57badb98ae1f93005ffcf60811615ed5231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 7,627$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.26 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 4,604$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 3,972$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.88 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 45c | 2,652$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.64 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 45c | 2,448$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 2,346$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.8 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,997$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.76 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 44c | 1,690$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.49 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 1,626$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.5 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,227$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.52 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 1,063$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,029$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,001$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.46 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 56c | 638.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 52c | 510.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 486$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 417.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 15c | 368.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 362.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 27c | 310.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 310.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 80c | 293.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 287.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 53c | 281.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 47c | 198.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 56c | 187.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 48c | 183.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 176$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 154.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 25c | 115.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 115.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 111.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 78c | 97.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 50c | 88.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 44c | 85.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 72c | 73.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 46c | 52.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 41c | 41.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Over | 54c | 36.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Over | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 58c | 26.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Under | 50c | 26.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 46c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.