TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60d2…4268

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT14753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$34.52
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.12
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$19.12
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$12.24
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.32
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.52
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.2
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.48
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.08
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$27.46
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smithbacked Alana Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.71
Set 2 Winner: Shelbayh vs Harrisbacked Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$14.45
Michelsen vs. Lajal: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.93
Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs Mondaybacked Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$14.74
Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Set 1 Winner: Tomic vs Lajalbacked Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.31
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Vera Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Prestonbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Brescia: Alessandra Mazzola vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Luisina Giovannini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Giorgia Pedonebacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmohbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.45
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$14.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.88
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.