TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$483,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$483,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over52c207,596$107,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,779.7246949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under51c164,718$83,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,966.923036.7%11 W · 19 L-7.9wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c139,112$68,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,935.344,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under48c136,845$65,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,685.4828350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over51c24,803$12,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,168.9411952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under48c24,343$11,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,684.4829147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c13,874$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.583,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c13,758$6,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,711.811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c10,695$5,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,164.688,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c9,742$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.8610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c7,319$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.791,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c5,238$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.276,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…087bbacked Under1c4,683$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under48c4,375$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c4,285$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.562,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c2,329$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.51,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Over52c1,588$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.247642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under48c1,396$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.093,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c1,318$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.734,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c1,276$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4877647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over57c1,076$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.592,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c1,036$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.491,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4527351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over50c995.95$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3136048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over63c681.02$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1171850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over58c646.55$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4718151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c637.83$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.164,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c603.67$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.840341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Under48c514.48$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9520654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Under48c503.5$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6821152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under48c470$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under50c408.32$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.778,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c365$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.21,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under48c364.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2256851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under60c322$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.279442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c297.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over52c280$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.638142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over52c261.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1512549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over52c240$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.439440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007553.3%40 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under50c195.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7621350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over59c169.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5811138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under48c162$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under48c156.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.292,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.95,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over50c132.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.062,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under45c132.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under50c132.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0519654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6573243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Under48c101$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4810249%50 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c100.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.241,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under54c90.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over64c89.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.181,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c78.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.425,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under44c67.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.771,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over49c60.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c60.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6593…445ebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under48c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9217645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c51.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.463,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Under48c51.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.555867.2%39 W · 19 L+10.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258048.8%39 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Under42c48.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.222846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over53c45.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3412541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Under50c43.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.917952%93 W · 86 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c41.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Under48c41.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.277836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.844745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.215143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c34.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.075,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under50c30.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5739053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Under50c29.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0614753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a38…7210backed Under48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x372a…b924backed Under48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+85.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e24backed Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x70a9…489abacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over51c23.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3634846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd62…344abacked Over65c23.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.024245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over51c22.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.152852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dae…8e07backed Over51c19.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.