TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a38…7210

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+128%+$19.65
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.85
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$28.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.48
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.88
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$12.54
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Nottingham 3: Marcus Walters vs Amit Valesbacked Amit Vales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.78
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.17
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Dammbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.15
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman Faticbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam Waltonbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.7
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.55
Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinskibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.37
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Miami Open: Alexandre Muller vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.28
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Lugano: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej Dodigbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+75.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$17.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$5.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.