TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9651045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c9,851$5,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.4241842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under45c7,149$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.023333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under45c5,522$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.7118641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Over55c4,571$2,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.7816442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under45c2,911$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.41,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c2,709$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.421,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c1,861$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.592,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under44c1,820$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over55c1,820$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8198348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.143548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over60c1,304$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Under42c942.6$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.741546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over55c875.7$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.065855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Under45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c613.5$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9438147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c606$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4912258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c447.65$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2411245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.47850%39 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under44c420.66$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.099038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over62c341.89$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.581,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Over56c340.76$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under41c339$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under9c307.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4415560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under38c280.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9750251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c271.26$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3633554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c267.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6114551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a98…9c69backed Over56c187.68$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.224442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c173.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.531,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Over57c165.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under33c157.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under45c128.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0218548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23dc…7520backed Under45c107.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over68c99.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.762,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under36c94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.847047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over79c87.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6414855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f3…9afebacked Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over70c76.31$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0749851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under45c65.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.338844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under45c59.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8721355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c57.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2469653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under36c54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de8…824fbacked Over55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+90.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Under39c52.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under45c49.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2418941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Over71c49.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2531744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Over67c49.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1716554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over69c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Over56c47.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9927957.7%161 W · 118 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over56c38.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1442750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Under38c38.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.635345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under45c32.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Under45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.512040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under37c29.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Over66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0917853.9%96 W · 82 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over56c29.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0442558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x436a…e76abacked Under45c25.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…c8d0backed Over55c25.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over55c25.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2947753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over74c24.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.518757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26d…f9a8backed Under45c24.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc87…b568backed Under45c24.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c4…31a9backed Over55c23.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38d8…a984backed Under45c23.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x824a…3a3abacked Under45c23.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3292…1c0fbacked Over55c23.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbb…3da1backed Over55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4615…e3d3backed Over55c22.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb203…9d6dbacked Under45c22.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a38…7210backed Under45c22.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32c…1a91backed Over55c21.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1562…b34ebacked Over55c21.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb78…b8bfbacked Over55c21.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…48e5backed Over55c21.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…a2abbacked Over55c21.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed3…5426backed Over55c19.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0f…c117backed Over54c19.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over69c19.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x352f…74c5backed Over55c19.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53af…2bf7backed Over55c18.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over56c18.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.312080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1f1…66ddbacked Over55c18.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc560…acf2backed Over55c18.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over55c18.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.365961%36 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9985…123cbacked Over55c18.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7b…fb9ebacked Over55c18.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.