NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8dd3b80571c2349ed7645b04bac1fd284184b5f5e926e0592971b3f9bbbd522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 34c | 8,418$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Stars | 66c | 4,356$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.19 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 66c | 1,790$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Stars | 67c | 1,196$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Stars | 68c | 1,018$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5ea8backed Wild | 34c | 889.01$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Wild | 32c | 869.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Stars | 69c | 865.98$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Wild | 33c | 764.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Stars | 66c | 686.41$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Stars | 56c | 681.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Stars | 56c | 635$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Stars | 66c | 574.5$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Wild | 32c | 500.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Stars | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Stars | 67c | 437.42$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Wild | 33c | 432.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Stars | 67c | 429.91$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Stars | 67c | 364.58$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Wild | 47c | 362.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Stars | 66c | 339.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Wild | 34c | 326.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stars | 66c | 325.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Stars | 66c | 324.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Stars | 68c | 317.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…5636backed Wild | 32c | 296.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…1bc9backed Stars | 69c | 294.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 53c | 280.81$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Stars | 66c | 246.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 35c | 238.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Wild | 33c | 159.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6783backed Stars | 66c | 157.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Stars | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 45c | 143.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Stars | 53c | 129.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Stars | 67c | 126.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Wild | 10c | 100.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Wild | 22c | 99.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Stars | 51c | 94.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wild | 23c | 90.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wild | 26c | 87.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Stars | 73c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…f9e6backed Stars | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Wild | 27c | 78.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Stars | 53c | 71.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b0…46edbacked Wild | 33c | 67.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Wild | 35c | 62.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Wild | 26c | 59.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Wild | 21c | 55.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Wild | 32c | 54.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…be2bbacked Wild | 33c | 54.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Stars | 67c | 53.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543a…2923backed Stars | 68c | 53.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Stars | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Stars | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Wild | 49c | 45.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Wild | 48c | 42.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 32c | 40.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stars | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Stars | 69c | 38.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Stars | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Wild | 47c | 37.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Wild | 31c | 33.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Stars | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Wild | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Wild | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…5488backed Stars | 70c | 29.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Wild | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Stars | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Stars | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Stars | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Stars | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Stars | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Stars | 66c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Stars | 68c | 18.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Stars | 68c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Stars vs. WildStars won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.