NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838a856a4860570b59223040dfff891d341ed21ed3e24918012811e780df8a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,704,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,743,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,704,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Wild | 55c | 228,655$125,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,760.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Stars | 45c | 222,463$100,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,354.64 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 45c | 152,887$68,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,087.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Wild | 55c | 147,374$81,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,055.53 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Stars | 63c | 128,352$80,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,505.73 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 50c | 118,658$59,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,057.78 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Stars | 45c | 109,471$49,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,208.78 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 55c | 101,207$55,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,170.98 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Wild | 53c | 72,022$38,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,519.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 55c | 62,742$34,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,542.03 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Wild | 53c | 37,900$20,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,086.1 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wild | 55c | 33,732$18,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,552.59 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 44c | 26,899$11,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,063.23 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Stars | 22c | 26,487$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,659.72 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 45c | 22,247$10,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.93 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Stars | 66c | 21,553$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wild | 55c | 17,777$9,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,777.32 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 70c | 16,645$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.77 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wild | 55c | 15,334$8,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,433.85 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 52c | 14,695$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.56 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Stars | 46c | 14,040$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.76 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 45c | 13,874$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Wild | 55c | 13,812$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,592.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wild | 53c | 13,790$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…523cbacked Wild | 55c | 12,518$6,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Stars | 48c | 12,063$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251.69 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 46c | 10,517$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.23 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 46c | 10,200$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.86 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Stars | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Stars | 43c | 9,879$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Stars | 45c | 9,832$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.72 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 44c | 9,659$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Wild | 14c | 9,022$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.22 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Stars | 46c | 8,351$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Stars | 44c | 7,645$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.24 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 60c | 7,173$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.67 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 44c | 6,836$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.63 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 54c | 6,381$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 55c | 6,179$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.92 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wild | 54c | 6,000$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.95 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Stars | 46c | 5,916$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.22 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Wild | 53c | 5,502$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…b7e9backed Wild | 55c | 5,352$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wild | 44c | 5,269$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.77 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Wild | 54c | 5,250$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Wild | 54c | 5,170$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…1378backed Wild | 53c | 5,160$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Stars | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Stars | 45c | 4,916$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.85 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 57c | 4,898$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.27 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 45c | 4,465$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.88 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 40c | 4,397$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 53c | 4,393$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.52 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Wild | 54c | 4,358$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Stars | 45c | 4,333$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.42 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.76 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Stars | 47c | 4,120$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Wild | 52c | 3,827$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Stars | 46c | 3,807$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.29 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Wild | 53c | 3,652$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Wild | 55c | 3,533$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.34 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 55c | 3,513$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.89 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Wild | 55c | 3,488$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.51 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Wild | 41c | 3,447$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.38 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 55c | 3,397$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.14 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 47c | 3,263$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.54 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Stars | 46c | 3,155$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.82 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Stars | 58c | 3,140$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.08 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Wild | 46c | 3,060$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 45c | 3,003$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.93 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Stars | 44c | 2,972$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wild | 55c | 2,919$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.45 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 45c | 2,910$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.5 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Wild | 53c | 2,888$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 63c | 2,864$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.7 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Stars | 51c | 2,841$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.64 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Stars | 36c | 2,734$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 50c | 2,699$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.23 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Wild | 56c | 2,434$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.04 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Wild | 52c | 2,415$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.74 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 45c | 2,334$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.34 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Stars | 64c | 2,293$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Wild | 47c | 2,258$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.09 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Stars | 24c | 2,228$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.41 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Stars | 45c | 2,203$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.99 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Stars | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 40c | 2,074$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.06 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Wild | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Wild | 52c | 1,960$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.79 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Wild | 50c | 1,915$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.65 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Wild | 56c | 1,903$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Stars | 45c | 1,877$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 55c | 1,858$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.14 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Stars | 46c | 1,849$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Wild | 55c | 1,830$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 36c | 1,827$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.94 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Stars | 47c | 1,797$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars | 47c | 1,740$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wildthis page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.