TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb64f…0d2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,794Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,793.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,260
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,919.99
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,367.2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,525.73
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,988.96
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,264.98
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,639.94
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,299.99
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,599.48
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,598.67
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+142.7%+$4,703.96
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5,119.99
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16,354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+62.2%+$10,174.96
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$16.11
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21,599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8,399.43
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$3,399.66
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,749.25
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,199.95
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,492
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,731.19
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.64
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$1,708.36
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,300
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,913.46
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,660
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$863
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.88
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.99
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,400
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.47
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,786.65
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$1,440
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,565.53
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$9,343.14
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,900
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,224.11
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.18
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$135.5
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,664
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16,000
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,504
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$336.93
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,237Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,820.68
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030
Chiefs vs. Bengalsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+88%+$103
49ers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$115.4
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+43.7%+$106.5
Browns vs. Cowboysbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$84
Bills vs. Cardinalsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+37%+$81
Giants vs. Vikingsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$141
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.07
Chiefs vs. Ravensbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$144.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarasota: Duje Ajdukovic vs Darwin Blanchbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.4
Madrid: Nerman Fatic vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.87
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.57
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.98
Wuning: Sergey Fomin vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-81.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,842.75
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.33
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.43
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,092
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.5
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$756
All 6 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+149.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+79.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+467.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+181.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$4,130.68
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.49
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,313.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-57.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$774
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$640
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+45.9%+$574.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.