Lol · resolved market
LoL: Forsaken vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde5ad6f3a1541afad99951fc2e9e52d90862a9bc0d8552c897a0c55714ff94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Forsaken, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked devils.one | 14c | 12,466$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.17 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed devils.one | 5c | 1,406$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked devils.one | 13c | 1,196$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed devils.one | 15c | 1,044$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed devils.one | 5c | 1,015$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked devils.one | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed devils.one | 2c | 956.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b3babacked Forsaken | 80c | 625.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked devils.one | 12c | 535.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked devils.one | 28c | 381.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Forsaken | 72c | 368.7$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…6111backed devils.one | 20c | 359.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed devils.one | 15c | 280.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed devils.one | 7c | 249.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…9c55backed devils.one | 19c | 248.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked devils.one | 21c | 228.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…6884backed devils.one | 22c | 212.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Forsaken | 79c | 185.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed devils.one | 8c | 166.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed devils.one | 20c | 147.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed devils.one | 12c | 138.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Forsaken | 57c | 134$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked devils.one | 13c | 128.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed devils.one | 15c | 113.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Forsaken | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Forsaken | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Forsaken | 72c | 75.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked devils.one | 15c | 74.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Forsaken | 63c | 68.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Forsaken | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Forsaken | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Forsaken | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Forsaken | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Forsaken | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Forsaken | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…78debacked Forsaken | 50c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked devils.one | 50c | 26.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Forsaken | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…cd53backed devils.one | 50c | 23.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Forsaken | 55c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Forsaken | 71c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Forsaken vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs devils.one (+1.5)devils.one won
- LoL: Forsaken vs devils.one - Game 1 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.