TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66d9…bef3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4122%9 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$67.32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.34
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.04
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.28
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.23
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$37.87
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.4
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Pacers vs. Kings: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$19.64
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$100.47
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$7.68
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-64.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.66
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.14
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$59.67
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+53.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+934.5%+$108.39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+218.3%+$82.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.89
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$38
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Counter-Strike: Voca vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$21.4
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Siniakova (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$18.52
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5)backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$14.93
Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
BNP Paribas Open: Diana Shnaider vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.8%+$6.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$77.1
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$82.8
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108%+$18.93
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+369.3%+$102.3
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+171%+$31.55
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$31.33
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+237.1%+$42.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$22.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$25.82
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-43.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$42.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$21.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keldric Faulk be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.