World Politics · resolved market
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a9e0caa1790ae060b66c99d3226a98b223e8ef7e12491bd09c34b5020493ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcf2…a852backed Yes | 19c | 37,899$7,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 1c | 15,845$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…43c2backed Yes | 18c | 12,786$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes | 11c | 11,115$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…1567backed Yes | 30c | 9,428$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…d8a7backed Yes | 15c | 7,990$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 77c | 5,100$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.99 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…a9cebacked Yes | 12c | 4,922$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…4b2dbacked Yes | 14c | 4,782$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…d25cbacked Yes | 24c | 4,691$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc108…3653backed Yes | 21c | 4,627$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 12c | 4,525$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.65 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad5…06f5backed Yes | 21c | 3,716$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…d969backed Yes | 18c | 3,332$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +452.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…4888backed Yes | 14c | 3,132$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…5df5backed Yes | 10c | 2,977$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…99c6backed Yes | 27c | 2,774$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…a769backed Yes | 36c | 2,764$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 2,717$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9d…983fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,611$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…51e3backed Yes | 13c | 2,290$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…b33ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,214$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d88…cb98backed Yes | 5c | 2,142$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 41c | 2,125$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.05 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…0762backed Yes | 13c | 2,088$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…0cf5backed Yes | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Yes | 43c | 1,994$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…7f70backed Yes | 10c | 1,936$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,786$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes | 29c | 1,770$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.47 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2,755.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…3c1cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,769$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 1,751$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.93 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…b9ebbacked Yes | 13c | 1,591$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 16c | 1,511$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…daa7backed Yes | 17c | 1,479$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,435$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12a…54b6backed Yes | 28c | 1,425$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…73d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,424$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +67%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…5ddfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,381$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…eb00backed Yes | 12c | 1,295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…a152backed Yes | 11c | 1,252$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…6376backed Yes | 37c | 1,244$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…9344backed Yes | 25c | 1,157$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…6638backed Yes | 20c | 1,144$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93e…3ca7backed Yes | 12c | 1,133$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…8bcebacked Yes | 22c | 1,091$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 931.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 52c | 924.05$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 919.28$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…0372backed Yes | 11c | 890.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad1…8b6bbacked Yes | 12c | 890$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5189…7320backed Yes | 63c | 878.51$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…e6c8backed Yes | 2c | 863.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc5…4cc5backed Yes | 12c | 816.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…05cabacked Yes | 18c | 812.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 766.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…e4f1backed Yes | 27c | 764.16$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e94dbacked Yes | 66c | 760.61$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 28c | 758.24$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.87 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 719.69$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 716.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76c…992fbacked Yes | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 74c | 690.93$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…e87bbacked Yes | 73c | 686.12$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 76c | 683$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…69a6backed Yes | 18c | 682.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…3018backed Yes | 2c | 639.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…4836backed Yes | 10c | 630.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…ce1abacked Yes | 9c | 629.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 11c | 600.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…700fbacked Yes | 9c | 600.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed Yes | 50c | 599.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb9…2565backed Yes | 73c | 586.6$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…7c92backed Yes | 28c | 527.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 62c | 526.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 503.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 17c | 503.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…bfd6backed Yes | 48c | 501.27$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 484.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…43aebacked Yes | 27c | 480.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…7879backed Yes | 54c | 459.1$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 49c | 459$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 4c | 448.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ee…93e2backed Yes | 23c | 440.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 79c | 440$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…0689backed Yes | 47c | 438.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…52b0backed Yes | 23c | 426.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…8865backed Yes | 49c | 423.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…979bbacked Yes | 21c | 423.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…c6bfbacked Yes | 24c | 420.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 10c | 400.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…c61bbacked Yes | 26c | 377.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…6d2abacked Yes | 9c | 354.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…66c4backed Yes | 20c | 346.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +255.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…762dbacked Yes | 73c | 340.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…029ebacked Yes | 23c | 323.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 322.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c6…8490backed Yes | 18c | 320.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Yes | 35c | 311.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 305$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?this page
- Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes won
- Will Julio César Tórrez win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Mauricio Quezada win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Miguel Cadima win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
- Will Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.