Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e97cd65d923d743c8c59bf70bd9f1da2afe700afe23b18bf7828017db339b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 55c | 159,976$87,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,780.75 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Heroic | 49c | 100,774$49,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,767.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 97,453$37,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,421.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 50,637$25,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,153.43 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 45,957$23,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,934.3 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 61c | 35,409$21,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,842.83 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit | 62c | 34,660$21,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,187.71 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 20,146$10,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,073.98 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 39c | 19,697$7,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,682.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Heroic | 40c | 14,351$5,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic | 53c | 13,668$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,311.63 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 61c | 12,000$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.13 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 11,645$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.87 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 62c | 9,061$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.31 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 8,794$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.93 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Heroic | 47c | 8,506$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.99 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 46c | 7,756$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.93 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 7,211$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Heroic | 57c | 6,597$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.88 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heroic | 43c | 6,424$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.25 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Heroic | 39c | 5,335$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.88 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 39c | 5,265$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.6 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 46c | 5,045$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.41 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Team Spirit | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Heroic | 39c | 4,895$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.96 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Heroic | 40c | 4,828$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 48c | 4,269$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Heroic | 55c | 4,135$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.18 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Heroic | 56c | 4,120$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.33 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 4,105$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.69 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 43c | 3,950$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.39 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 3,900$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 3,800$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 59c | 3,722$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.56 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Heroic | 39c | 3,450$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,359$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.11 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…45c5backed Heroic | 77c | 3,062$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heroic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Heroic | 44c | 2,816$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,697$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.8 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 2,669$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.9 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,622$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,544$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.22 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,530$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.48 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…e9a0backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,440$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…8b22backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,436$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 41c | 2,250$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Spirit | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,215$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.06 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 2,185$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.25 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit | 51c | 2,004$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.19 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Heroic | 55c | 1,998$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Heroic | 41c | 1,974$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,957$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.51 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Spirit | 26c | 1,929$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.09 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,813$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.81 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,754$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,750$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.87 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,566$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.11 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,519$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.03 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Heroic | 40c | 1,506$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.49 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Heroic | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 61c | 1,500$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.41 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,488$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,486$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,401$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.93 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,360$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.29 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Heroic | 39c | 1,319$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,287$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.65 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,195$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.12 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,194$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Heroic | 43c | 1,178$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.92 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Heroic | 43c | 1,163$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.44 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 39c | 1,141$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.82 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Heroic | 39c | 1,103$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.31 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 39c | 1,076$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.05 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,073$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.28 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Heroic | 39c | 1,064$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Heroic | 54c | 1,042$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Heroic | 37c | 1,026$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Heroic | 41c | 1,022$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.42 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Heroic | 41c | 1,015$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.85 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,010$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,002$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.61 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Heroic | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Heroic | 61c | 985.81$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.23 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Heroic | 64c | 900$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic | 55c | 838.19$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.04 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.