Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2eecd26e83ac2492af62c999ddb4702d85c25d242662c1b9797c3e7fe2045f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,756 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Spirit | 60c | 67,247$40,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,647.13 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 40c | 45,010$18,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,003.93 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Heroic | 39c | 19,278$7,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.42 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 12,603$7,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.76 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 60c | 11,629$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.76 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 41c | 7,943$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.48 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Heroic | 0c | 7,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 42c | 6,614$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.28 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic | 41c | 5,834$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.01 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Heroic | 42c | 3,857$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.36 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 38c | 3,735$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.96 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 3,607$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.95 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,442$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Heroic | 39c | 3,328$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.61 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Heroic | 41c | 3,248$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.68 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 41c | 2,787$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.5 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 2c | 2,453$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 2,408$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.41 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Heroic | 5c | 2,355$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 43c | 2,104$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.75 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 2,095$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.76 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,768$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.08 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Heroic | 40c | 1,311$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 57c | 1,306$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Heroic | 72c | 1,244$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Heroic | 51c | 1,239$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.08 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 43c | 1,208$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 43c | 1,177$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Heroic | 9c | 1,163$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Heroic | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.68 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,080$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 22c | 1,058$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Heroic | 56c | 1,003$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic | 43c | 889.67$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Heroic | 55c | 867.09$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Heroic | 21c | 865.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Spirit | 59c | 625.33$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit | 57c | 580.44$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 52c | 476.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Heroic | 41c | 452.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Spirit | 57c | 439.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Heroic | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Heroic | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Heroic | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Heroic | 22c | 386.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Heroic | 69c | 362.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 59c | 340.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 337.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 333.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Heroic | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 59c | 323.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic | 40c | 321.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed Heroic | 44c | 321.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Heroic | 56c | 300.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Heroic | 41c | 300.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Spirit | 67c | 300.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Heroic | 50c | 298.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Heroic | 53c | 295.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 42c | 294.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Team Spirit | 26c | 289.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 44c | 288.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Spirit | 52c | 287.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Heroic | 53c | 283.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 26c | 276.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Spirit | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Heroic | 24c | 253.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Heroic | 65c | 249.32$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Heroic | 40c | 247.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Heroic | 32c | 211.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Heroic | 39c | 211.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Spirit | 61c | 210.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Heroic | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Heroic | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Heroic | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Heroic | 40c | 199.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 194.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heroic | 32c | 187.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 73c | 177.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 176.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 41c | 175.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 38c | 170.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Team Spirit | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Spirit | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Spirit | 47c | 158.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 40c | 152.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Heroic | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Heroic | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Team Spirit | 61c | 148.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 40c | 147.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 64c | 147.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Heroic | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Heroic | 55c | 134$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Heroic | 15c | 114.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 113.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 106.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.